August 27,
2011 - 5:00pm - Latest Advisory From NWS #30
000
WTNT34 KNHC 272055
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
500 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...IRENE ABOUT TO RE-EMERGE OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.2N 76.0W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM SSW OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF
CAPE FEAR NORTH
CAROLINA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE
BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM
POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE
TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO EASTPORT MAINE
* UNITED STATES/CANADA BORDER NORTHEASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE
INCLUDING GRAND MANAN
* SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE TO
PORTERS LAKE
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE
UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST.
IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
ACCOMPANIED BY A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
IRENE WILL MOVE
NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT...AND
MOVE OVER
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. IRENE IS FORECAST TO
MOVE INTO
EASTERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT
MOVES NEAR OR
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND APPROACHES NEW
ENGLAND. THE
HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL AND
BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM.
A NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE OBSERVING SITE AT OREGON
INLET NORTH
CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 59
MPH...WITH A
GUST TO 81 MPH. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 58 MPH WITH A
GUST TO 74 MPH
WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT MANTEO NORTH CAROLINA.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD
NORTHWARD ALONG THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS EXPECTED
TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS EVENING WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF
HIGH-RISE
BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE
NEAR
GROUND-LEVEL.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL
RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO
CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES.
HIGHER THAN
NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE OCCURRING THIS
WEEKEND. COASTAL AND
RIVER FLOODING WILL BE HIGHEST IN AREAS WHERE THE
PEAK SURGE OCCURS
AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. STORM TIDE AND SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY
LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES
INTO EASTERN NEW YORK AND INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND.
THESE RAINS...
COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST FEW
WEEKS...COULD CAUSE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS...AND
SIGNIFICANT UPROOTING OF TREES DUE TO RAIN-SOFTENED
GROUNDS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
MUCH OF THE
EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL
CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE COAST OF
MARYLAND...DELAWARE...AND NEW JERSEY THROUGH
TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...700 PM EDT AND 900 PM
EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
August 27,
2011 - 12:20pm - Funny Hurricane Irene YouTube Video
Need a good laugh
after the storm? Check out this spoof of the Weather
Channel!!!
August 27,
2011 - 12:00pm - Damage Reports For Brunswick County
As Hurricane
Irene skirted by Brunswick county during the
overnight hours, the worst of the damage seems to
have occurred well to the North of Brunswick County.
No major damage is being reported in Brunswick
County at this time. Damage seems to be limited to
power outages, localized flooding, downed tree
limbs, some toppled trees, and minor structural
damage.
August 27,
2011 - 11:00am - Latest Advisory From NOAA #29
000
WTNT34 KNHC 271448
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1100 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...IRENE BATTERING EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...TROPICAL
STORM
CONDITIONS SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE DELMARVA
COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.2N 76.4W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM W OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER
INLET HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A
TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND FROM MERRIMACK
RIVER NORTHWARD
TO EASTPORT MAINE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM
POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE
TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN EASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE
UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.4
WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24
KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IRENE WILL MOVE
ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON. THE
HURRICANE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
TONIGHT AND
MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST
AS IRENE CROSSES
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES
AND APPROACHES NEW ENGLAND.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL-
STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260
MILES...415 KM. A WIND
GUST TO 87 MPH WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA. NORFOLK NAVAL AIR STATION RECENTLY
REPORTED A WIND
GUST TO 63 MPH.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11
INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD
NORTHWARD ALONG THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST TODAY WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY THIS
AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS EVENING WITH
HURRICANE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS AFFECTING THE
UPPER FLOORS OF
HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER
THAN THOSE NEAR
GROUND-LEVEL.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL
RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO
CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES.
STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE
URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES
INTO EASTERN NEW YORK AND INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND.
THESE RAINS...
COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST FEW
WEEKS...COULD CAUSE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS...AND
SIGNIFICANT UPROOTING OF TREES DUE TO RAIN-SOFTENED
GROUNDS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
MUCH OF THE
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHEASTERN
VIRGINIA...EASTERN MARYLAND...DELAWARE...AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
THROUGH THIS EVENING.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
August 27,
2011 - 8:00am - Hurricane Irene Make Landfall
Hurricane Irene
made landfall today near Cape Lookout, NC. Time of
landfall was approximately 8:00am EST. Wind speeds
were approximately 90mph at the time of landfall.
Today Hurricane Irene is expected to continue its
track up the East Coast, affecting more populous
areas of Virginia, Maryland, Washington D.C.,
Delaware, New Jersey and up into New England. After
brushing North Carolina, the eye of Hurricane Irene
is expected to remain over open waters and make
another landfall later this weekend, possibly on
Long Island, NY.
August 27,
2011 - 1:00am - Latest Advisory From NOAA #27A
000
WTNT34 KNHC 270454
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
100 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...CENTER OF IRENE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD
THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING
NORTHWARD
ALONG THE COAST...
SUMMARY OF 100 AM EDT...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.1N 76.5W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM
POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE
RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE
TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE
UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM EDT...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5
WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE
COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND PASS NEAR
OR OVER THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATER THIS MORNING. THE
HURRICANE IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT
AND MOVE OVER
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160
KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS
FORECAST BEFORE IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA. SOME
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THAT...BUT IRENE IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN
A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
ON SUNDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90
MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO
290 MILES...465 KM. A NOAA AUTOMATED BUOY IN ONSLOW
BAY NORTH
CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45
MPH...72 KM/H...
AND A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...90 KM/H.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN
AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11
INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD INLAND
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA TODAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH
THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST LATER THIS
MORNING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS
AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED
ON SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL
RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO
CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES.
STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE
URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
NEW YORK...AND NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE
SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
EXTREME EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. A TORNADO WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED IN BEAUFORT
COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...300 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
August 26,
2011 - 11:00pm - Latest Advisory From NOAA #27
000
WTNT34 KNHC 270257
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011
...IRENE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS LASHING THE
CAROLINA COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.6N 76.9W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM
POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE
RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE
TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE
UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.9
WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE
WILL APPROACH THE
COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY MORNING. THE HURRICANE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE
NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY NIGHT
AND MOVE OVER
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160
KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS
FORECAST BEFORE IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA. SOME
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THAT...BUT IRENE IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN
A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
ON SUNDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90
MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM. DURING THE PAST HOUR...A WEATHERFLOW
AUTOMATED
STATION REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 48 MPH...78
KM/H...AND A GUST
TO 64 MPH...104 KM/H AT THE FORT MACON STATE PARK
NEAR ATLANTIC
BEACH NORTH CAROLINA.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY
AIR FORCE RESERVE
AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 951
MB...28.08 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD INLAND
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA TONIGHT.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH
THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
SATURDAY MORNING
WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL
RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO
CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES.
STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE
URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
NEW YORK...AND NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE
SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
EXTREME EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...100 AM EDT AND 300 AM
EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
August 26,
2011 - 8:00pm - Latest Advisory From NOAA #26A
000
WTNT34 KNHC 262342
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011
...IRENE TURNS TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...TROPICAL
STORM
CONDITIONS SPREADING INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.1N 77.2W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SSW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM
POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE
RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE
TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE
UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST.
IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL
APPROACH THE COAST
OF NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
NORTH CAROLINA
COAST ON SATURDAY. THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NEAR OR OVER
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND MOVE OVER
SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160
KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST BEFORE
IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA. SOME
WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED AFTER THAT...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN A HURRICANE
AS IT MOVES ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON SUNDAY.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE-FORCE
WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM.
DURING THE PAST HOUR...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 52
MPH...84 KM/H...AND A
GUST TO 62 MPH...100 KM/H WERE REPORTED AT THE
JOHNNY MERCER PIER
IN WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH NORTH CAROLINA.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY
AIR FORCE RESERVE
AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 950
MB...28.05 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD INLAND
OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA
TONIGHT.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH
THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA LATE TONIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BEGIN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT
WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO
CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES.
STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE
URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES
INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS
COULD
CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE
SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
EXTREME EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
August 26,
2011 - 2:00pm - Latest Advisory From NOAA #25A
000
WTNT34 KNHC 261756
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011
...IRENE WEAKENS A LITTLE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS
ARRIVING ALONG THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.2N 77.5W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND
CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF
DRUM POINT.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK
RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY...LONG
ISLAND...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...BOSTON...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE
RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE
TIDAL POTOMAC
WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED
NORTHWARD INTO NEW
ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN
NORTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.5 WEST.
IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST
SHOULD BEGIN BY SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CORE OF THE
HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT AND
PASS NEAR OR OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ON
SATURDAY. THE
HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST
SATURDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100
MPH...155
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE
CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE IRENE REACHES THE COAST
OF NORTH
CAROLINA. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER
THAT...BUT IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES ALONG THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON
SUNDAY.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM. A
COASTAL MARINE OBSERVING SITE AT FOLLY ISLAND SOUTH
CAROLINA
RECENTLY MEASURED A WIND GUST TO 55 MPH...89 KM/H.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURE BY AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER
THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN
ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST OVERNIGHT WITH
HURRICANE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...INCLUDING TRIBUTARIES...AND THE
EASTERN SHORE OF
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE
JERSEY SHORE.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...
DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES
INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS
COULD
CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE
SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
August 26,
2011 - 11:00am - Latest Advisory From NOAA #25
000
WTNT34 KNHC 261445
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1100 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011
...OUTER RAIN BANDS OF LARGE HURRICANE IRENE NEARING
THE COAST OF
THE CAROLINAS....
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.7N 77.3W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.93 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS.
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD IN
THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY TO DRUM POINT.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO
SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND
CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF
DRUM POINT.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK
RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY...LONG
ISLAND...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...BOSTON...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE
RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE
TIDAL POTOMAC
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS
TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE
OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36
HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED
NORTHWARD INTO NEW
ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN
NORTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3
WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN BY SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...
THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS WELL OFF THE
COAST OF GEORGIA
TODAY...APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT...AND PASS
NEAR OR OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY. THE
HURRICANE
IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST SATURDAY
NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105
MPH...165
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE
IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST BEFORE IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41013 LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
SOUTHPORT
NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY MEASURED A WIND GUST TO 47
MPH...76 KM/H.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM
RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT DATA IS 946 MB...27.93 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
FIRST REACH THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA
TONIGHT OR SATURDAY MORNING...AND THEN SPREAD
NORTHWARD IN THE
WARNING AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER SOUTHERN
POTIONS OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...INCLUDING TRIBUTARIES...AND THE
EASTERN SHORE OF
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE
JERSEY SHORE.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...
DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES
INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS
COULD
CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE
SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
August 25,
2011 - 11:00pm - Latest Advisory From NOAA #23
000
WTNT34 KNHC 260254
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1100 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011
...HURRICANE IRENE AIMS ITS FURY TOWARD THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 77.3W
ABOUT 490 MI...785 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCEPT FOR GRAND BAHAMA
AND THE ABACO
ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE GRAND BAHAMA AND THE ABACO ISLANDS
* THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM LITTLE RIVER
INLET NORTHWARD TO
THE VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND
CURRITUCK SOUNDS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER NORTHWARD TO
SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY
SOUTH OF SMITH
POINT
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE
RIVER INLET
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT NORTHWARD AND THE
TIDAL POTOMAC
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS
TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE
OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36
HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48
HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND
NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE
UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3
WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN THEREAFTER. ON THE
FORECAST
TRACK...IRENE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS
WELL OFFSHORE OF
THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA EARLY
FRIDAY. THE
HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA ON
SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
ON FRIDAY.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM. NOAA
BUOY 41010 LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES...220 KM EAST OF
CAPE CANAVERAL
FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 49
MPH...79 KM/H...
AND A WIND GUST OF 65 MPH...104 KM/H.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A
NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
SUBSIDING OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE UNITED
STATES EAST COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
BY SATURDAY.
STORM SURGE...ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES...AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING
AREA INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS.
NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND
LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. IRENE ALSO HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY...TRIBUTARIES...AND THE
EASTERN SHORE.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND IN
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES ALONG THE PATH OF IRENE.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL
CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
August 25,
2011 - 5:00pm - Latest Advisory From NOAA #22
000
WTNT34 KNHC 252051
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
500 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011
...IRENE STILL BATTERING ABACO ISLAND...NEW WATCHES
AND WARNINGS
ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 77.3W
ABOUT 575 MI...930 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
COAST OF SOUTH
CAROLINA FROM EDISTO BEACH NORTHWARD TO LITTLE RIVER
INLET.
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF
NORTH CAROLINA
FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTHWARD TO THE VIRGINIA
BORDER...
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED
STATES FROM THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER
NORTHWARD TO SANDY
HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...AND THE
CHESAPEAKE
BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM
SMITH POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM LITTLE RIVER
INLET NORTHWARD TO
THE VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND
CURRITUCK SOUNDS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER NORTHWARD TO
SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY
SOUTH OF SMITH
POINT.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE
RIVER INLET
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT NORTHWARD AND THE
TIDAL POTOMAC.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS
TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE
OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36
HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48
HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND
NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE
UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST.
IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H.
THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH
BY EARLY FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF
THE
HURRICANE WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS TONIGHT...AND
PASS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL AND
NORTH FLORIDA
TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH
THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY
RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...BUT SHOULD
BEGIN TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE
UNITED STATES EAST
COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO FIRST
REACH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY SATURDAY.
STORM SURGE...IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE WINDS
NEAR THE CENTER OF IRENE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
STORM SURGE WILL
RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. WATER LEVELS
WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TONIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST...THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
WAVES.
STORM SURGE...ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES...AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING
AREA INCLUDING THE ABLEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS.
NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE... AND
LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. IRENE ALSO HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY...TRIBUTARIES...AND THE
EASTERN SHORE.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND IN
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES ALONG THE PATH OF IRENE.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL
CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
August 25,
2011 - 5:14pm - Hurricane Irene Track Models
August 25,
2011 - 2:00pm - Latest Advisory From NOAA #21A
000
WTNT34 KNHC 251745
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER
21A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
AL092011
200 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011
...EYE OF IRENE OVER ABACO ISLAND...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 77.2W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM N OF NASSAU
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA-VIRGINIA
BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND
CURRITUCK SOUNDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY
NORTH CAROLINA
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY
ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48
HOURS.
WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY. THE HURRICANE WATCH WILL ALSO
LIKELY NEED TO BE
EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
LATER TODAY.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND
NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE
UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2
WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22
KM/H. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH BY EARLY FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF THE
HURRICANE WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS LATER
TODAY...AND PASS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE EAST COAST OF
CENTRAL AND
NORTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. THE
HURRICANE IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. HURRICANE OR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
STILL OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...BUT SHOULD
BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA ALONG THE COAST OF
NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA BY LATE FRIDAY.
STORM SURGE...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER OF IRENE...
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS. WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TONIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST...THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
WAVES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE
SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
August 25,
2011 - 11:00am - Latest Advisory From NOAA #21
000
WTNT34 KNHC 251454
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1100 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 76.8W
ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM NNE OF NASSAU
ABOUT 645 MI...1040 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA-VIRGINIA
BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND
CURRITUCK SOUNDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY
NORTH CAROLINA
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48
HOURS.
WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY. THE HURRICANE WATCH WILL ALSO LIKELY
NEED TO BE
EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
LATER TODAY.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND
NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE
UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8
WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/H. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH BY EARLY FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF THE
HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
TODAY...AND PASS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE EAST COAST OF
CENTRAL AND
NORTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. THE
HURRICANE IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 290
MILES...465 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY SPREADING
OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE
STILL OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...BUT SHOULD
BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA ALONG THE COAST OF
NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA BY LATE FRIDAY.
STORM SURGE...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER OF IRENE...
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OVER
THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER THE BAHAMAS.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL
CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
August 24,
2011 - 5:00pm - Latest Advisory From NOAA #18
000
WTNT34 KNHC 242052
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
500 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE HITTING THE
SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS HARD...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 74.7W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ESE OF LONG ISLAND
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SE OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST.
IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN
TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF IRENE
WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND
OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195
KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO AND IRENE COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE BY
THURSDAY.
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES...370 KM. A WIND
GUST TO 60 MPH...95 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT
GREAT EXUMA IN
THE BAHAMAS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 954
MB...28.17 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO
SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS BY LATE TONIGHT...WITH
HURRICANE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
STORM SURGE...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER OF
IRENE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL
RAISE WATER LEVELS
BY AS MUCH AS 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
OVER THE
BAHAMAS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS HISPANIOLA
WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES IN AREAS
OF STEEP TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE WILL BEGIN
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES ON
THURSDAY. THESE
SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER
OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
August 24,
2011 - 2:00pm - Latest Advisory From NOAA
000
WTNT34 KNHC 241742
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
200 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2011
...IRENE A LITTLE STRONGER...EYE OVER CROOKED
ISLAND...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.7N 74.3W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SE OF LONG ISLAND BAHAMAS
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SE OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19
KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS
ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
INTERESTS IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3
WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH ARE
EXPECTED THURSDAY
AND THURSDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE
OF IRENE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL
BAHAMAS THROUGH
TONIGHT AND OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON
THURSDAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO
NEAR 120 MPH...
195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY
THREE HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME
ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO
AND IRENE COULD
BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE BY THURSDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50
MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY
RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
NOW SPREADING
OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY
TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS BY LATE TONIGHT...WITH
HURRICANE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
STORM SURGE...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER OF
IRENE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL
RAISE WATER LEVELS
BY AS MUCH AS 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
OVER THE
BAHAMAS. A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS
ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS OVER THE
TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS HISPANIOLA
WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES IN AREAS
OF STEEP TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
